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Can Nigeria’s Gasoline Dangote Oil Refinery into Success story

by Neo Africa News
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  • The development took over 20 years and bears a processing capability of 650,000 barrels per day 250,000 per day of gasoline and 100,000 of diesel.
  • The Dangote oil refinery would possibly halt the decades-long gasoline commerce from Europe to Africa price $17 billion every year.

Dangote Oil Refinery

Aliko Dangote, Nigeria’s and Africa’s wealthiest man ambition to foster power reliance in his motherland and the area at giant is perhaps in danger. The large oil refinery which is claimed to own the potential to finish decades-long gasoline commerce from Europe to Africa price $17 billion a 12 months.

Issues and tensions are excessive as a myriad of points emerged earlier than and for the reason that $ 20 billion refinery got here to life. In response to varied information reviews, together with the BBC and Reuters, the development started in 2016 and began producing diesel and aviation gas in January this 12 months as petrol is anticipated to observe.

The development took over 20 years and bears a processing capability of 650,000 barrels per day and 250,000 per day of gasoline and 100,000 of diesel.

A report by Reuters point out that, the refinery would produce oil for each native consumption and worldwide commerce. Already, 150,000 gas stations run by the Impartial Petroleum Entrepreneurs Affiliation of Nigeria (IPMAN) have been sanctioned to obtain gas provides from the newly constructed personal Dangote refinery.

Nonetheless, since January – when the refinery started manufacturing the refinery has processed round 8 million barrels of oil between January and February and in response to a report by Reuters, it is going to take two months to achieve full capability.

On one other be aware, Devakumar Edwin, Vice President of Dangote Group mentioned the refinery will likely be producing 500,00 earlier than the tip of August, the next quantity exceeding the nation’s 480,000 barrels per day utilization, to export surplus, in response to BBC.

Moreover, the journey to the formidable oil business growth has not been stuffed with roses.

Dangote whose monetary actions show his patriotic act has seen a myriad of challenges left and proper together with critic from his rich pal.

“4 years in the past, one in every of my very rich pals started to speculate his cash overseas. I disagreed with him and urged him to rethink his motion within the curiosity of his nation. He blamed his motion on coverage inconsistencies and shenanigans of curiosity teams. That pal has been taunting me prior to now few days, saying he warned me and that he has been confirmed proper,” the billionaire instructed Nigerian Newspaper.

Nonetheless, Dangote egocentric act to put money into his nation and imaginative and prescient to starve Nigeria of its power issues is banked on borrowed time.

“We’ve been dealing with a gas disaster for the reason that 70s. This refinery can assist in resolving the issue, but it surely does seem some individuals are uncomfortable that I’m within the image. So, I’m able to let go, let the NNPC purchase me out, run the Dangote oil refinery,” he mentioned

READ: Nigeria Oil Manufacturing Considerably Falls In 3 Months

Refinery challenges

Dangote oil refinery
Nigeria oil refineries. [Photo/Shutterstock]

In response to Enterprise Insider Africa, since January when the Dangote oil refinery started working, it hasstruggled to safe sufficient crude provides in Nigeria. The large refinery slated to supply gas for Nigeria in August has been functioning fairly half-way of its capability.

The organisation started wanting on the prospect of securing crude from fellow African oil producer, Libya, as a substitute from shopping for from the USA and Brazil.

That is regardless that Nigeria is Africa’s largest oil producer. Nonetheless, oil theft, pipeline vandalism, and low funding have hampered the West African nation’s skill to totally maximize its oil sector.

Moreover, Nigeria’s Midstream and Downstream alleged that Dangote’s gasoil accommodates extra Sulphur than the authorized stage of 200 components per million (ppm).

Dangote, however, denied that the petroleum merchandise produced by his refinery had been of poor high quality.

If all goes properly, the refinery as soon as it reaches its fullest capability could be the biggest in Europe and Africa. However the success of the latter is hinged on the corporate’s skill to deal with the market points.

Out there knowledge from refining business physique Concawe signifies no less than 30 European refineries shut down since 2009, with almost 90 vegetation of varied sizes and complexities in operation.

Reuters identified the latter is triggered by competitors from new and sophisticated vegetation established in Center East, Asia and extra not too long ago due to the impression of the COVID pandemic.

Since 2016, Europe has misplaced 1.52 million barrels per day of operational crude distillation which at the moment stands at 13.93 million bpd, consultancy IIR’s knowledge reveals.

Many of the lower befell in 2021 and 2022 as demand destruction through the COVID-19 pandemic pressured shutdowns.

European refineries don’t produce sufficient diesel to fulfill regional wants however produce an excessive amount of gasoline and depend on exports to clear extra provide.

West Africa has lengthy been the principle outlet for gasoline that doesn’t meet stricter environmental restrictions in Europe on sulphur and metals content material.

On the gasoline export entrance issues are stiff. In response to the Reuters report, that commerce accounted for $17 billion in 2023, in response to value knowledge from Argus Media and Reuters calculations.

The Dangote refinery is configured to supply as a lot as 53 million litres of gasoline a day, about 300,000 bpd.The drop in West African imports will coincide with new environmental legal guidelines in Northwest Europe, that can drive vegetation to reconfigure, search new markets for lower-quality gasoline, or shut down.

Crops which have funds to reconfigure may direct gasoline exports to the U.S. or South America, Kpler senior refining analyst Yaping Wang mentioned. However upgrading refineries can also be troublesome as a result of banks are cautious of lending cash to fossil gas tasks.

“Even in case you discover a financial institution which is able to fund a European refinery improve challenge, charges will likely be too excessive to make it work,” mentioned an govt at a serious U.S. financial institution which lends to grease corporations. 

READ: Can Nigeria oil and fuel companies succeed the place Shell confronted setbacks?

The wealthiest man in Africa could possibly be dealing with doubts concerning his funding alternative within the area’s aggressive financial system as challenges converge his new investments.

The refinery’s growth has been thought-about the essential second in Nigeria’s drive for power independence. Regardless of being the biggest nation by inhabitants and the highest oil producer on the continent, Nigeria’s oil market has been suffering from an incapability to refine its personal oil, leaving it on the mercy of international markets.

The institution of the Dangote oil refinery alongside the rehabilitation of dilapidated refineries within the nation is anticipated to vary its dependence.

“The lack of the West African market will likely be problematic for a small set of refineries that don’t have the equipment to improve their gasoline to European and U.S. specification,” consultancy FGE’s head of refined merchandise Eugene Lindell mentioned.

In response to Kpler analyst Andon Pavlov, 300-400,000 bpd of European refining capability is susceptible to ceasing as international gasoline output rises.

Furthermore, Reuters highlighted {that a} European refinery govt who declined to be recognized said that coastal refineries oriented for exports will likely be extra vulnerable, however inside refineries are much less weak since they depend on native demand.



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